/machines/1RB0RE_1RC0RA_0LD0RB_1LA0LE_1LC1LF_0LC---/notes.md · raw

W5-5 · 1RB0RE_1RC0RA_0LD0RB_1LA0LE_1LC1LF_0LC--- (740 line 29)

Observe stage, 2026-10-13. Sheet class: Bell eats counter (results row 1007: "Chaotic"; level-0 note: "chaotic bell eats counter"). No claim, no Discord thread.

Checks

Configuration family

Round start (the head has just turned right at the counter boundary):

K(w, b, c) = 0^inf w 0 E> 101 (001)^b 0001 (001)^c 0^inf

Rules

Long run

Template comparison (W4-2 / BECv5)

Cryptid check (ground rule 6)

Figures

Files

Next

Derive the EAT exactly, then test an invariant (W4-2 style). Spelled out under next_goal in the stage report.

Wave 5, stage 1 (2026-10-12)

Result: the machine is predicted to HALT, at about 1.82e18 steps. Not certified. The last cycle is checked by direct simulation. The path to it rests on a cycle model that is TM-grounded and checked several ways (below).

Cycle model (exact on everything tested)

What the observe stage missed

The halt

Checks of the path to the halting cycle

Open

Halt certification: independent re-check (2026-10-13)

Result: agrees. I wrote a second implementation from the TM table alone. It does not read or import scripts/fastabs2.c, steps_chunk.py, check_cycles.py or runk.c. It reaches the same halt:

Everything is in work/indep/.

How the second model works

The rules below were derived from traces of constructed tapes, not taken from the stage-1 notes.

Validation against the real TM

Set Cases Range Halts Dirty words Notes
Single rounds 3,000 b <= 200, c <= 300 184 1,422
Multi-round batches 1,500 b <= 3,000 62 — 1,726 arithmetic batches, 316 dirty carries; every intermediate K-form checked
Eats 3,000 c <= 300 398 1,488
Eats 300 c up to 19,256 42 —

Cross-checks of the path

Comparison with the stage-1 outputs (read only at the end)

What this does and does not show

Halt certification: exact step count (2026-10-13)

Exact total: 1,816,824,067,232,869,945 steps from the blank tape (state A) to the halt, with the halting transition counted (tools/sim convention, as in BB(5) = 47,176,870). In busycoq terms this is halts_in tm c0 1816824067232869944.

This is still a prediction. It rests on the cycle model for cycles 0..611,576, which is not proved. Every formula used in the count is checked against the real TM (below). Everything is in work/steps_exact/.

The count

part steps
blank -> K0('', 2) 288
133 cycles with c <= 250, run whole on the TM 17,789,836
eats (cycles 133..611,577) 15,593,792,071,655
round cost 12b 1,816,798,040,775,616,704
round excess h (incl. the 36-step halting round) 10,432,647,391,462
total 1,816,824,067,232,869,945

Independent counts, same number

Cross-checks (all pass)

Found on the way

Files (work/steps_exact/)

Kill (halting)

KILLED_HALT (2026-10-13). Lemma halt: halts tm c0. in the 2,975-line .v: a checked certificate runner in the style of busycoq verify/Sk1Machines.v Module Sk1Auto. Rounds and the clean carry are es-lemmas (bellpart, round, absm/abs0/abs1/pass2, callw_inc), rounds applies n rounds in closed form (batch via split 16, untrusted propose, addn), and eats plus carries into dirty digits run on a verified run-length macro simulator (single steps + block rules found by window simulation, crossed by shift_rule_L/R). init (288 steps, solve_init) then 751 vm_check_eq chunks: 4,942,483 checker moves (611,578 eats, 2,234,211 batches, 2,096,694 simulated rounds; 300,612,334 macro steps), ending in the halt in round 7,435 of cycle 611,577 (F reads the y = 1 of the 101 above 110).

Checks

Step count (computed, not proved)

1,816,824,067,232,869,945 steps (halting step included; busycoq halts_in n = N − 1), from the three independent counts in "Halt certification: exact step count" and work/indep/. status.json halt_steps has proven_in_coq = false.

Package